Does Text-Link-Ads destroy Google? (Is Google F’d?)

One of the best algorithms people have come up with for providing good search results is Google’s PageRank algorithm.  Simply put, the value of a specific page on a website is related to the value of the pages that link to the page.  So, if lots of people link to you, you get higher PageRank.  The key here is an actual, real, HTML anchor-text link.  No Javascript clicks, no banner ads, etc.  Those things don’t count.  The value of a page is related to how many REAL links there are to it.  Also important is the value of the pages that link to a specific page.  So, if a page gets linked to by a highly valued page, it gets ranked higher than a page that is linked to by a less valued site.  It’s pretty simple.  If a site is linked to a lot, it’s an authority.  If it’s an authority, and it links to you, well, you’re good too.  It’s fairly common knowledge that PageRank isn’t the ONLY thing that Google looks at, but, regardless of what anyone says, it is important.  Google conceived of the system, and they provide pretty good search results.  Everything’s great in the world.  Except… when it’s not.

Looking at web history, webmasters figured out the importance of links, and they did what they could to get them.  Link exchanges became common, and they still are.  Link spamming, especially on blogs, became common.  Google had to react, to make sure that their algorithms still worked.  If certain people are unscrupulously gathering links and are performing better in search results, Google ceases to become an independent provider of relevant search results.  If this happens too much, people stop using Google.  So, the point is that people have been trying to game Google, and Google has been reacting.  However, for the most part, Google’s been reacting to things like link spamming, blog spamming, and the like.  But now, things are changing.

Text Link Ads is a service that lets webmasters BUY links.  This is different.  Instead of swapping links or having a site’s content be editorially dictated, there’s now a market for buying links on sites with good PageRank.  Webmasters like it because it gives them another stream of revenue, people doing SEO like it because it gives them an easy way to build links.  Text Link Ads says that it’s not really about PageRank.  I disagree.  If it weren’t about PR, then why not build something resembling a banner ad system?  Why not value links based on clicks or impressions?  Because you want real anchor text links that translate into transferred PageRank, that’s why. (Note: I’m not saying there are not other reasons for buying TLA’s, such as traffic.  But If PR weren’t a large part of this equation, why not just have a more traditional ad system?)

Is this bad?  My guess would be that Google probably thinks so.  Google wants their search results to be good, and anything that potentially hurts that is a “bad” thing.  However, the case can be made that this actually isn’t so bad.  For one, another revenue source brings more revenue to websites, promoting better content.  Also, TLA has editorial approval of links (and sites displaying links), and for the most part, the links actually conform somewhat to the niche they’re being displayed in.  Here’s an analogy:  You can pay Yahoo to be in their commercial directory, and Google counts this as ok.  They even suggest it.  The idea is that if you pay Yahoo to list you, and they do list you, it’s approval that you’re good.  You’ve spent the money to prove that you’re not a fly-by-night scam or spam operation, and Yahoo has independently confirmed.  Google likes this.  Take this to the next level.  Would Google approve of other directories doing the same?  Why?  I think the same rules apply. Take it another step — to where Text Link Ads is.  They’re still like a directory in that they place links in niches.  There’s still editorial control, most of the links are in-genre, the real money exchanged is a barrier to uberspam.  It’s just … decentralized.

I think TLA itself isn’t enough really hurt Google.  However, there are networks out there that take this idea another step towards spamminess.  Here’s what they do:  You give up links on your sites for links on other sites.  It’s just like TLA, but you get “paid” in links which you can only “spend” on other links.  These sites generally skim off the top and actually sell some of their inventory.  Also, they’re fairly sophisticated about how much “currency” you get for displaying links on your site.  Here’s why they’re bad:  There’s much less of a barrier to spam and lack of editorial control.  Once systems like these become automated enough, they’ll degenerate into spam.  On the other hand, maybe they won’t.  Maybe there’s enough money to be made and enough focus on keeping everything legitimate that they won’t really hurt google that much.

However, can it be said that something that gives some sites an advantage over others in the SERPS is not basically bad for Google?  In the end, don’t these sites exist to game Google?  Isn’t anything that games Google bad for Google?

Time will tell whether these networks thrive or whether Google figures out how to do some fancy graph analysis that penalizes network participants, thus killing the networks.

What do you think?  Is Google screwed by such practices? Will they evolve? Is a solution possible?  Does it require more computing power than is possible (even for the Googleplex) to amass?

Time will tell.

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Make the Digg Homepage, Pass Go, Collect $20

After listening to either an episode of This Week in Tech or Diggnation (not sure, probably both) where Kevin Rose talked about people trying to “game the system” by spamming diggs, I was curious about the motivation behind people trying to do that.  What’s it worth to them?

So, I researched the Digg Effect, and came across lots of articles, but two really good ones stood out.  First, Digg vs. Slashdot (or, traffic vs. influence) on kottke.org and second, The Digg Effect on hrmpf.com.

I wanted to know how much traffic we’re talking about and how much revenue someone could expect to get from making the digg homepage.  Both articles come up with the same conclusion: digg sends traffic, but it doesn’t really gain you readers.  The latter article even says how much he made from being dugg.

So, if being dugg doesn’t gain you long term readers, then the monetization can only be from the initial pop.

The “The Digg Effect” article was in reference to an article that was dugg titled, “Apple invents 1984’s telescreens, 22 years too late- Oh, the irony!” — The digg link is bad, but I found the original article here. It’s from January.  The author later states that he made about $10 dollars from being dugg.  I took a look at digg’s alexa graph, and since January, they’ve roughly doubled their traffic.

So, I say, being dugg is worth $20 dollars.  Do you hear that Kevin?  If you were unscrupulous, you’d mix ads in with the stories, but I don’t think you are, so I’m not worried about that.

Anyway, the initial articles both said that the digg effect was very short term.  The kottke.org article talks about how slashdot traffic created a more sustained readership for him.  The hrmpf.com article, well, I’m not sure if that was ever slashdotted, so take this with a grain of salt — I checked alexa’s daily pageviews for hrmpf.com, and noticed something.  Before he was dugg, he was pretty much at baseline.  After that, his traffic drops off to a small fraction of the digg-effect traffic, but it stays above baseline.

What I’m saying is, maybe he didn’t get 15,000 new readers, but quite possibly, he gained some, and that’s worth infinely more than actually being dugg.

If being dugg is worth $20 directly, well, there’s not much motivation to being dugg.  If being dugg gets you a large number of incoming links and an increased readership, well, you’ve got the makings for some recurring revenue directly from your readers and an increased pagerank for more search traffic, both of which, over time, could be worth much more than $20 bucks.

I view making the homepage of digg as, well, nothing earth shattering, but definitely something that can help a small blog build a readership for the long term.

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Damn Interesting

Damn Interesting has got to be one of the best websites out there, to me.  It’s well written, esoteric, and intellectual.  I mean really, just about every single post there is totally Digg worthy.

I can’t believe there aren’t ads there.  I’d click on them all the time just cause i like the articles so much.

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